Rīgas FS vs Tukums

Match Analysis & Predictions

Latvia: Virsliga

Mon, 19th Oct, 2026 • 16:00 Regular Season - 33
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS
1st in table
DWDWW
- VS -
Upcoming
Tukums Tukums
9th in table
LWLDL

Expert Prediction · Over/Under 3.5

Ov 3.5 @ 1.67 (82% chance)

Winner : Rīgas FS
82% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

1.09 86% implied

Draw

10.00 9% implied

Away Win

19.00 5% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Over/Under 3.5 Ov 3.5 @ 1.67
Over/Under 2.5 Ov 2.5 @ 1.25
LNK Sporta Parks, Riga

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10games
10Rīgas FS wins
0Draws
0Tukums wins
4.2Goals per game
70%Both scored
70%Over 2.5
27 Jul 2026Virsliga Tukums 0 - 1 Rīgas FS
25 May 2026Virsliga Rīgas FS 3 - 1 Tukums
13 Apr 2026Virsliga Tukums 1 - 2 Rīgas FS
19 Oct 2025Virsliga Tukums 2 - 4 Rīgas FS
26 Jul 2025Virsliga Rīgas FS 6 - 2 Tukums
25 May 2025Virsliga Tukums 2 - 5 Rīgas FS
09 Apr 2025Virsliga Rīgas FS 2 - 0 Tukums
20 Oct 2024Virsliga Rīgas FS 4 - 1 Tukums
27 Jul 2024Virsliga Tukums 1 - 4 Rīgas FS
25 May 2024Virsliga Tukums 0 - 1 Rīgas FS

Virsliga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Rīgas FS 322552 79:24 +55 80 WWDWD
2 Riga 322372 88:30 +58 76 WWWDD
3 Auda 321976 52:32 +20 64 WDWDW
4 FK Liepaja 3212713 43:46 -3 43 LDDDW
5 BFC Daugavpils 3211912 37:36 +1 42 WDLDL
6 Super Nova 3211516 31:45 -14 38 LWLLW
7 FS Jelgava 328816 34:53 -19 32 LLDLW
8 Grobiņa 3361116 25:56 -31 29 WLDDL
9 Tukums 325918 44:63 -19 24 LDLWL
10 Ogre United 334623 33:81 -48 18 LLWLD

Top scorers

Virsliga
1 PauloRiga 3goals 1assists 15apps
2 A. TraoreBFC Daugavpils 2goals 0assists 28apps
3 J. EdeFK Liepaja 2goals 0assists 12apps
4 R. ŠitjakovsSuper Nova 1goals 1assists 29apps
5 J. GeroldAuda 1goals 1assists 25apps
6 M. OšsSuper Nova 1goals 0assists 31apps
7 M. BadamosiRiga 1goals 0assists 29apps
8 O. RubenisAuda 1goals 0assists 29apps
9 Reginaldo RamiresRiga 1goals 0assists 28apps
10 A. AppiahAuda 1goals 0assists 13apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Rīgas FS Draw Tukums
Value spotted: Draw at 10.00 (model 15% vs market 9%) · Tukums win at 19.00 (model 11% vs market 5%)

Most likely scores

2-0 8.8%
2-1 8.8%
3-0 8.2%
3-1 8.2%
1-0 6.3%
1-1 6.3%

Expected goals: 2.8 Rīgas FS · 1 Tukums

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Over 3.5 goals52%
Both teams score59%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
73%
Form
27%
73%
Attack
27%
69%
Defence
31%
87%
Goal model
13%
100%
Head to head
0%
73%
Goals
27%
75%
Overall
25%

Recent form

5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
15 Oct 2026Virsliga Rīgas FS 4 - 0 Super Nova W
11 Oct 2026Virsliga Rīgas FS 4 - 2 FS Jelgava W
20 Sep 2026Virsliga Auda 1 - 1 Rīgas FS D
13 Sep 2026Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 1 - 2 Rīgas FS W
07 Sep 2026Virsliga Rīgas FS 0 - 0 FK Liepaja D
03 Sep 2026Cup Rīgas FS 2 - 3 Riga L
30 Aug 2026Virsliga Ogre United 0 - 3 Rīgas FS W
23 Aug 2026Virsliga Rīgas FS 3 - 3 Riga D
16 Aug 2026Cup Super Nova 0 - 1 Rīgas FS W
13 Aug 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Rīgas FS 1 - 2 FK Jablonec L
2 W 1 D 7 L in the last 10
10 Oct 2026Virsliga Tukums 0 - 2 Riga L
20 Sep 2026Virsliga Tukums 1 - 1 Grobiņa D
10 Sep 2026Virsliga Super Nova 1 - 0 Tukums L
05 Sep 2026Virsliga Tukums 2 - 1 Ogre United W
29 Aug 2026Virsliga Tukums 1 - 4 FS Jelgava L
21 Aug 2026Virsliga Auda 3 - 0 Tukums L
08 Aug 2026Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 2 - 0 Tukums L
02 Aug 2026Virsliga Tukums 2 - 1 FK Liepaja W
27 Jul 2026Virsliga Tukums 0 - 1 Rīgas FS L
18 Jul 2026Virsliga Riga 3 - 1 Tukums L

Season numbers

Virsliga 2026

When the goals come

10
0-15'
3
11
16-30'
8
12
31-45'
11
10
46-60'
5
15
61-75'
5
18
76-90'
16
2
0-15'
10
7
16-30'
10
6
31-45'
10
5
46-60'
8
3
61-75'
13
4
76-90'
8
Rīgas FS Tukums

Side by side

Rīgas FS Tukums
32 Played 32
25 Won 5
5 Drawn 9
2 Lost 18
2.5 Goals scored per game 1.4
0.8 Goals conceded per game 2
3.1 / 1.8 Scored per game (home / away) 1.6 / 1.1
16 Clean sheets 1
2 Failed to score 6
8 Longest winning run 2
6-0 Biggest win 6-1
0-1 Biggest defeat 1-4
11/12 Penalties scored 2/2

What comes next

Rīgas FS
Tukums (H) 19 Oct
Super Nova (A) 25 Oct
Grobiņa (H) 01 Nov
Riga (A) 08 Nov
Tukums
Rīgas FS (A) 19 Oct
FK Liepaja (A) 24 Oct
BFC Daugavpils (A) 01 Nov
Auda (H) 08 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Rīgas FS 1.09 92% implied
Draw 10.00 10% implied
Tukums 19.00 5% implied
Rīgas FS 1.02 98% implied
Tukums 10.50 10% implied
Over 0.5 1.00 100% implied
Under 0.5 34.00 3% implied
Over 1.5 1.07 93% implied
Under 1.5 7.50 13% implied
Over 2.5 1.25 80% implied
Under 2.5 3.75 27% implied
Over 3.5 1.67 60% implied
Under 3.5 2.10 48% implied
Over 4.5 2.50 40% implied
Under 4.5 1.50 67% implied
Rīgas FS/Draw 29.00 3% implied
Rīgas FS/Tukums 67.00 1% implied
Draw/Tukums 34.00 3% implied
Draw/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Rīgas FS/Rīgas FS 1.40 71% implied
Draw/Rīgas FS 4.33 23% implied
Tukums/Rīgas FS 19.00 5% implied
Tukums/Draw 34.00 3% implied
Tukums/Tukums 34.00 3% implied
Yes 2.10 48% implied
No 1.67 60% implied
3:0 7.00 14% implied
2:0 8.00 13% implied
4:0 8.50 12% implied
3:1 11.00 9% implied
5:0 12.00 8% implied
1:0 13.00 8% implied
2:1 13.00 8% implied
4:1 13.00 8% implied
Rīgas FS/Draw 1.00 100% implied
Rīgas FS/Tukums 1.03 97% implied
Draw/Tukums 7.00 14% implied
Rīgas FS 1.33 75% implied
Draw 3.50 29% implied
Tukums 12.00 8% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Rīgas FS vs Tukums: preview and prediction

Rīgas FS host Tukums in the Latvia Virsliga (Regular Season - 33) on Monday, 19th October 2026 at 16:00 at LNK Sporta Parks, Riga. Rīgas FS sit 1st in the table and Tukums 9th. Rīgas FS are 56 points ahead (80 to 24).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Rīgas FS 322552 79:24 +55 80
9 Tukums 325918 44:63 -19 24

Full Virsliga standings

Rīgas FS are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-D-W-W). Tukums are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-D-L).

In the last 10 meetings, Rīgas FS won 10, Tukums won 0 and 0 ended level. These games average 4.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 70% and over 2.5 goals in 70%.

Our goal model expects about 2.8 goals for Rīgas FS and 1 for Tukums. It gives Rīgas FS the edge (74% home win, 15% draw, 11% away win), 72% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-0.

Verdict: our pick is Ov 3.5 at odds of 1.67. We also like Ov 2.5.

Rīgas FS vs Tukums FAQs

What is the best prediction for Rīgas FS vs Tukums?

Our top tip is Over/Under 3.5: Ov 3.5 (1.67 odds).

Who will win Rīgas FS vs Tukums?

Rīgas FS are favourites: our model gives Rīgas FS 74%, the draw 15% and Tukums 11%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 59% chance in our model, and it happened in 70% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.8 goals in total, with a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Rīgas FS vs Tukums?

Kick-off is on Monday, 19th October 2026 at 16:00 at LNK Sporta Parks, Riga.

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